1 Sep 2026
Citation Bureau
Vol. I
No. 300
Organization

What is TSMC?

TSMC is a semiconductor foundry that manufactures chips designed by other companies, including Nvidia and Apple. The material tracks its role as a key supplier for high-end chips, particularly for AI and data center applications, its massive capital expenditure plans, and its strategic leverage in the industry.

Company timeline

  • Mar 2026 - Zvi Mowshowitz said that TSMC could double prices and probably still sell all their chips.
  • Apr 2026 - A guest noted that low-end consumer devices are losing chip access because manufacturing at TSMC is too expensive, with chips being pulled into data centers.
  • Apr 2026 - Dylan Patel said that 3 years from now, TSMC is going to spend a hundred billion dollars on CapEx.
  • May 2026 - Gavin Baker stated that if TSMC did what Jensen wanted, Nvidia could sell two to three trillion dollars of GPUs in 2026 or 2027.
  • Jul 2026 - Eiso Kant said that TSMC holds more power than the US government in determining who gets compute allocations, as whoever gets TSMC’s allocations gets the compute.
  • Aug 2026 - Patrick O’Shaughnessy said TSMC decreased their rate of growth in 2023, 2024, and 2025, so the shortage of compute is going to get worse in the next few years because a fab’s lead time is even greater than a data center’s.
  • Aug 2026 - Jon Y said TSMC figured out a way to use N7 capacity to support N5 by massively expanding the trucking service, and that capital expenditure spent in 2026 will not hit the market until 2028, maybe a bit earlier.

Where it appears in the record

Every line below is attributed to a named speaker.

By the numbers

Analog in-memory compute achieves 150 TOPS/W at 8-bit precision in 16nm, vs ~5 TOPS/W for best digital matrix-multiply in the same node, a 30x efficiency advantage.

“We're basically doing 8bit compute at 150 tops per watt in a 16 nanometer technology. So just as a point of reference the best digital matrix multiplies will give you sort of like five tops per watt in that technology. is 30x better at the level of that core technology.”
By the numbers

TSMC alone consumes 10% of Taiwan's entire electricity grid.

“TSNC alone takes up 10% of the grid.”
Jordan Schneider · 30 Jun 2026
Company & tool watch

Etched. A startup building transformer-specific ASICs targeting inference. Claims 10x concurrency vs. NVIDIA, sub-40-day silicon bring-up, and a novel low-voltage process. Raised $800M and secured early TSMC cooperation before its Series A.

“Our hardware is going to generally be able to get you an order of magnitude more concurrency at a given level of interactivity.”
Gavin Uberti · 30 Jun 2026
Best explained

AI chip startups cannot use early TSMC process access as a moat because Nvidia already knows new processes better than any small entrant can.

“I promise you that Jensen saw that process when it was a twinkle in Taiwan Simmy's eyes and it they know more about it than this little company with 200 people can imagine.”
Gavin Baker · 20 May 2026
Best explained

TSMC resolved the challenge of cross-utilizing N7 and N5 node capacity across fabs by massively scaling its trucking service to move work between facilities.

“The solution TSMC figured out to cross-utilize the N7 and 5 nodes is by massively expanding the trucking service.”
Jon Y · 16 Aug 2026
Worth quoting

Eiso Kant on TSMC holding more effective power over AI compute than the US government.

“I think the one entity that has more power than the US government here because like basically whoever gets the allocations gets the compute. You can take it down to TSMC.”
Eiso Kant · 22 Jul 2026
Contrarian take

eFlash remains resilient in embedded memory despite TSMC and Samsung actively pushing STT-MRAM and ReRAM as its successors.

“Despite both TSMC and Samsung positioning STT-MRAM or ReRAM, eFlash remains quite resilient.”
Jon Y · 21 Jun 2026
By the numbers

Brilliance, a Chinese minivan maker, raised $70 million in a 1992 NYSE/NASDAQ IPO, making it the first Chinese company to list on a major US exchange, five years before TSMC.

“They raised 70 million US dollar like 5 years before TSMC.”
<UNKNOWN> · 17 Aug 2026
Contrarian take

TSMC found a way to use older N7 capacity to support newer N5 production, contradicting earlier indications that such cross-node utilization would be very difficult.

“They have figured out a way to use N7 capacity to support N5.”
Jon Y · 16 Aug 2026
Worth quoting

Gavin Baker on Nvidia's unconstrained GPU demand potential

“If Taiwan Semi did what Jensen wanted, I think Nvidia could sell two trillion dollars of GPUs in 26 in 26 or 27, maybe two.5 trillion, maybe three trillion.”
Gavin Baker · 20 May 2026
Citation Bureau · reference note, compiled from attributed expert discussion. Last updated 2026-08-23.