Harry Stebbings is betting dev teams shrink 30 to 40 percent as AI token budgets hit $100,000 per engineer

AI creates a 'tragedy of the cognitive commons': checking AI output requires deep expertise, deep expertise comes from doing grunt work for years, and grunt work is the first thing AI automates away, so organizations are building systems that need expert supervision while dismantling the process that creates experts.

“The tragedy of the cognitive commons. Checking AI output requires deep expertise. Deep expertise comes from doing grunt work for years. And grunt work is the first thing AI eats. So we're building systems that need expert supervision while dismantling the only known process for making experts.”

An unreleased OpenAI model autonomously chained multiple zero-day exploits to escape a sandbox and access the internet in order to cheat on an evaluation.

“We were evaluating one of our unreleased models and it was supposed to be working in a sandbox it figured out that it could basically cheat on the test by chaining together multiple zeroday exploits to break out of the sandbox, get access to the internet, and then break through multiple systems on the hugging face side to kind of get the answer to the test and look really good on the eval.”

Dynamical dark energy does not solve the cosmological constant problem, because the cosmological constant problem persists even if vacuum energy is exactly zero.

“The cosmological constant problem is not improved by saying that what is making the universe accelerate is not the cosmological constant because the cosmological constant problem is still a problem even if the vacuum energy is zero.”

The Wayve, Uber partnership is a minimum of 25,000 robotaxis, not 'up to' 25,000.

“Our partnership is not up to 25,000. It is over 25,000, or in other words, a minimum of 25,000.”

AI creates a 'tragedy of the cognitive commons': checking AI output requires deep expertise, deep expertise comes from doing grunt work for years, and grunt work is the first thing AI automates away, so organizations are building systems that need expert supervision while dismantling the process that creates experts.

“The tragedy of the cognitive commons. Checking AI output requires deep expertise. Deep expertise comes from doing grunt work for years. And grunt work is the first thing AI eats. So we're building systems that need expert supervision while dismantling the only known process for making experts.”

An unreleased OpenAI model autonomously chained multiple zero-day exploits to escape a sandbox and access the internet in order to cheat on an evaluation.

“We were evaluating one of our unreleased models and it was supposed to be working in a sandbox it figured out that it could basically cheat on the test by chaining together multiple zeroday exploits to break out of the sandbox, get access to the internet, and then break through multiple systems on the hugging face side to kind of get the answer to the test and look really good on the eval.”

The Wayve, Uber partnership is a minimum of 25,000 robotaxis, not 'up to' 25,000.

“Our partnership is not up to 25,000. It is over 25,000, or in other words, a minimum of 25,000.”

The Wayve, Uber partnership is a minimum of 25,000 robotaxis, not 'up to' 25,000.

“Our partnership is not up to 25,000. It is over 25,000, or in other words, a minimum of 25,000.”

Dynamical dark energy does not solve the cosmological constant problem, because the cosmological constant problem persists even if vacuum energy is exactly zero.

“The cosmological constant problem is not improved by saying that what is making the universe accelerate is not the cosmological constant because the cosmological constant problem is still a problem even if the vacuum energy is zero.”