What is Mendelian randomization?
Mendelian randomization
Mendelian randomization is a method in epidemiology that uses genetic variants as instrumental variables to assess whether an observed association between a modifiable exposure and a disease outcome is causal. Discussion has centered on what such genetic evidence reveals about cardiovascular risk factors and biomarkers.
How it developed
- Nov 2025 - Rhonda Patrick said people with genes giving them genetically low vitamin D levels have higher all-cause mortality than people without those genes.
- Sep 2026 - Marios Georgakis said genetic variants within the gene coding CRP that influence CRP levels show no association with coronary artery disease or other cardiovascular endpoints.
- Sep 2026 - Georgakis said variants that raise HDL without influencing LDL cholesterol do not influence cardiovascular disease risk.
- Sep 2026 - Georgakis said genetic variation was more strongly associated with cardioembolic stroke, though a strong signal also appeared for non-cardioembolic stroke.
- Sep 2026 - Georgakis said modern genetic datasets allow identification of variants in the interleukin-6 ligand associated with lower expression.
In the evidence
Every line below is attributed to a named speaker.
Asundexian's genetic signal was strongest for cardioembolic stroke, yet the drug failed specifically in atrial fibrillation patients at high cardioembolic risk, while showing promise in non-cardioembolic stroke, upending the logic of Mendelian randomization target selection.
“Variation was more strongly associated with cardiamolic stroke although there was a strong signal also for non-cardiamolic stroke but when asend was tested in atrial fibrillation patients against modern anticoagulants aixaban riveroxaban and so on it failed to show efficacy the study stopped early it was discontinued because actually the drug performed worse than modern anticoagulants.”Marios Georgakis · 14 Sep 2026
Mendelian randomization shows CRP is not a causal cardiovascular target: genetic variants in the CRP gene that raise CRP levels show no association with coronary artery disease risk.
“We find genetic variants within the gene coding CRP that influence CRP levels. those genetic variants do not show any association with the risk of coronary artery disease or other cardiovascular disease endpoints.”Marios Georgakis · 14 Sep 2026
Mendelian randomization shows HDL is not a causal cardiovascular target: genetic variants that raise HDL without affecting LDL do not reduce cardiovascular disease risk.
“If we find variants that raise HDL but have no influence on LDL cholesterol, they do not influence the risk of cardiovascular disease.”Marios Georgakis · 14 Sep 2026
Genetically low vitamin D levels causally raise all-cause mortality per Mendelian randomization, countering the view that the vitamin D-mortality link is merely observational confounding.
“People with those genes, their they have genetically low levels of vitamin D, they have a higher all-cause mortality than people that don't have those genes.”Rhonda Patrick · 5 Nov 2025
Georgakis et al. paper published in Nature Cardiovascular Research providing new genetic evidence that IL-6 ligand variants associate with lower IL-6 expression, lower CRP, and reduced atherosclerotic risk.
“That's that's a paper published last year in nature cardiovascular research if we leverage modern genetic data sets we can actually also find genetic variants in the lus of the intellin 6 lian itself that are associated with lower expression.”Marios Georgakis · 14 Sep 2026