Hip fracture outcomes follow a 'rule of thirds': approximately one third of patients die, one third recover with reduced function, and one third return to previous levels of function.

“It's broadly a rule of thirds. So if you have a hip fracture a third of people sadly will die. A third of people will recover to some extent but not necessarily to the level that they were before and then a third of people will be able to return to previous levels of function.”

The Biden administration communicated displeasure to Facebook about content but did not threaten regulatory or other action to compel compliance, unlike the current administration.

“it's one thing to say to Facebook, hey, we don't like this content. The second piece is and if you don't do what we want, we will take some kind of regulatory or other action against you. And that was not really happening during uh the Biden administration.”

Jensen Huang dismisses the 10% AI extinction risk estimate as made up.

“We shouldn't because it's made up.”

The 10-year Treasury note, not the S&P 500, is the risk asset in the current environment, as the bond market is the primary source of risk to equities.

“we are in a completely inverted um risk environment where the bond market is the source of risk to the stock market. So, you know, people say the S&P is the risk asset. I I said the 10-year note is the risk asset and it's just not behaving well at a time when the politics of deficits are intractable.”

JD Vance characterizes frontier AI companies' calls for government regulation as a Trojan horse.

“Personally, I feel a little bit weird about the fact that you have so many frontier AI tech companies kind of coming to the government and begging the government to regulate them. It feels a little bit to me like a bit of a Trojan horse.”

AFD co-chair Ali Vital stated that an AFD-led national government would not only end all support for Ukraine but would also demand repayment of all support given over the past nearly five years.

“the co-chair of the AFD, Ali Vital, recently few days ago, said in an interview that a an AfDled national government would not just end all support for Ukraine, but would ask for repayment of all the support it's received in the past nearly 5 years.”

The value of extraordinary writing is increasing as AI generates massive volumes of low-quality text, because great writing can cut through the resulting sea of low-quality content.

“because AI produces prodigious amounts of new text and writing so easily. I think the value of extraordinary writing is going up. That can cut through the sea of slop.”

AI alignment researchers' true concern is not a system that wakes up and hates us, but a system that never wakes up yet pursues a badly specified objective with great competence.

“The researchers in AI alignment, which is like now a subfield of AI research, the researchers in AI alignment do not worry about a system that wakes up and hates us. Their true concern is a system that never wakes up at all, yet it pursues a badly specified objective with great competence.”