Who is Tarek Mansour?
Tarek Mansour is the CEO of Kalshi, a prediction-market exchange, and the material tracks his public arguments about how such markets should be structured and where their volume is heading.
Track record
- Sep 2026 - Mansour argued that a market-structure problem arises when informed traders generate toxic flow: market makers stop quoting, liquidity providers pull their quotes, and no one has a liquid market to trade against.
- Sep 2026 - Mansour predicted sports would quickly fall from its current share to only 20 to 30 percent of the exchange’s volume.
On the record
What named speakers have said about Tarek Mansour.
Tarek Mansour explains why insider trading structurally destroys prediction market liquidity. Toxic informed flow causes market makers to pull quotes, collapsing the liquid market needed for scale.
“The greater reason is actually like a market structure reason which is like once you have a lot of toxic flow of like informed traders coming in market makers aren't going to quote anymore liquidity providers are going to pull their quotes and therefore like no one will have a liquid market to trade against and then you just have to draw this line against insider trading if you want to have market integrity and healthy markets that thrive and scale.”Tarek Mansour · 1 Sep 2026
Tarek Mansour on why insider trading ultimately kills prediction market liquidity and scale.
“The greater reason is actually like a market structure reason which is like once you have a lot of toxic flow of like informed traders coming in market makers aren't going to quote anymore liquidity providers are going to pull their quotes and therefore like no one will have a liquid market to trade against and then you just have to draw this line against insider trading if you want to have market integrity and healthy markets that thrive and scale.”Tarek Mansour · 1 Sep 2026
Tarek Mansour on insider trading in prediction markets.
“I do think that just like a little bit of insider trading is good too. Just a smidge.”Tarek Mansour · 1 Sep 2026
Kalshi, the prediction market platform whose CEO publicly compared it to a cure for Instagram addiction, is expanding toward real-money wagering and potential integration into Meta social apps.
“Tar Matsur the CEO of Khi recently literally compared gambling on Khi and other prediction markets as the cure to Instagram addiction.”Kevin Roose · 3 Jul 2026
Kalshi predicts sports will quickly fall to just 20 to 30% of total prediction market exchange volume as financial and macro markets grow, inverting the current public perception that sports betting dominates the sector.
“Sports quickly go from where it is now to becoming like only 20 to 30% of the exchange volume.”Tarek Mansour · 1 Sep 2026